Where is the Liberal International Order? Does a weakened liberal international order affect the propensity, frequency, and intensity of conflict?

The purpose of this dissertation is to understand and predict the impact of a weakened or weakened Liberal International Order on the propensity, frequency, and intensity of conflict. To do this, I first conduct a comprehensive literature review of international relations theories, selected economic theories, and other political science writings to identify what promotes order, what undermines it, and what perpetuates order.


  • Chapter one

    What promotes order? Order Origins and LIO Benefits

  • Chapter two

    What weakens LIO? nationalism and distorted perceptions of costs, benefits and risks

  • Chapter three

    Why LIO works and why weakening LIO will lead to higher conflict PIIs; formal modeling

  • Chapter four

    Why would weakening the LIO lead to more mutilations (or higher conflict PIIs); An agent-based model

  • Chapter five

    Summary of findings, implications, and recommendations for the real world

This paper was submitted as a dissertation in June 2022 in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the PhD in Public Policy Analysis at the RAND Graduate School of Purdue. The faculty committee that supervised and approved the dissertation consisted of Dr. Angel O’Mahony (Leader), Dr. Matthew Lewis, Dr. Aaron Frank, and external reader Dr. Brad Roberts.

This publication is part of the RAND Corporation Dissertation Series. Pardee RAND dissertations are produced by graduates of the Pardee RAND Graduate School, the world’s leading producer of Ph.D.’s in policy analysis. Dissertations are supervised, reviewed, and approved by a Pardee RAND faculty committee that oversees each dissertation.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decision-making through research and analysis. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.

Source link